Finland vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
9.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1994 |
ESP
2 - 0
FIN
81%
14%
5%
|
72 | 93 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
FIN
5 - 0
FRO
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1994 |
EST
0 - 7
FIN
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
GRC
4 - 0
FIN
70%
18%
12%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1994 |
FIN
0 - 2
SCO
24%
28%
48%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1994 |
GRC
2 - 0
SMR
87%
10%
3%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
RUS
4 - 0
SMR
90%
7%
3%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1993 |
SMR
1 - 7
ENG
5%
18%
77%
|
56 | 94 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1993 |
SMR
0 - 7
NED
6%
16%
78%
|
56 | 93 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1993 |
SMR
0 - 3
POL
3%
13%
83%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |