Finland vs Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
34.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
DEN
0 - 2
FIN
89%
7%
4%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1949 |
IRL
3 - 0
FIN
83%
11%
7%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 1949 |
FIN
1 - 1
NOR
37%
20%
43%
|
47 | 68 | 21 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1949 |
FIN
1 - 4
NED
30%
20%
50%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
POL
1 - 0
FIN
83%
10%
7%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1949 |
ENG
0 - 2
IRL
86%
9%
5%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1949 |
IRL
3 - 0
FIN
83%
11%
7%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1949 |
IRL
1 - 4
ESP
42%
22%
36%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 1949 |
SWE
3 - 1
IRL
89%
7%
4%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1949 |
IRL
1 - 0
POR
49%
20%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |