Finland vs Portugal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
59.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1982 |
FIN
2 - 3
POL
20%
24%
56%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1982 |
DEN
3 - 2
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 1982 |
FIN
3 - 2
ISL
67%
19%
13%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1982 |
FIN
1 - 4
ENG
16%
23%
61%
|
60 | 92 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Portugal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1982 |
BRA
3 - 1
POR
83%
13%
4%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
SUI
2 - 1
POR
32%
25%
44%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1982 |
BRD
3 - 1
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1982 |
GRC
1 - 2
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1981 |
BGR
5 - 2
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | -1 |