Finland vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1955 |
SWE
3 - 0
FIN
91%
6%
3%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1955 |
FIN
1 - 3
NOR
51%
20%
29%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 1955 |
DEN
2 - 1
FIN
84%
10%
6%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1955 |
FIN
1 - 9
HUN
24%
19%
58%
|
53 | 91 | 38 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1954 |
NOR
3 - 1
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 1955 |
BGR
1 - 1
POL
56%
19%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1955 |
ROU
2 - 2
POL
69%
17%
15%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
DDR
0 - 1
POL
18%
20%
62%
|
63 | 7 | 56 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1954 |
POL
2 - 2
BGR
62%
17%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
ALB
2 - 0
POL
57%
19%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |