Finland vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
41.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1947 |
FIN
3 - 3
NOR
36%
20%
44%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1947 |
SWE
7 - 0
FIN
93%
5%
3%
|
49 | 82 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1947 |
FIN
1 - 2
NOR
38%
20%
42%
|
50 | 69 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1946 |
FIN
0 - 7
SWE
29%
20%
51%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1946 |
FIN
2 - 5
DEN
36%
22%
42%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | -1 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1947 |
SWE
5 - 4
POL
85%
9%
6%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1947 |
CSK
6 - 3
POL
74%
14%
12%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 1947 |
POL
1 - 2
ROU
59%
18%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 1947 |
NOR
3 - 1
POL
53%
19%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1939 |
POL
4 - 2
HUN
40%
21%
39%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +2 |