Finland vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1981 |
AUT
5 - 1
FIN
89%
8%
3%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
FIN
0 - 4
BRD
12%
21%
67%
|
57 | 94 | 37 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1981 |
BGR
4 - 0
FIN
80%
13%
8%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
FIN
2 - 1
SWE
17%
20%
63%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | +2 |
| 08 Dec. 1980 |
URU
6 - 0
FIN
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 1981 |
NOR
1 - 1
SUI
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1981 |
ROU
1 - 0
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1981 |
NOR
1 - 2
HUN
18%
23%
59%
|
61 | 90 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
BGR
1 - 0
NOR
80%
13%
8%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1980 |
SUI
1 - 2
NOR
73%
16%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |