Finland vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
GER
6 - 0
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1935 |
FIN
2 - 2
EST
80%
12%
9%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1935 |
SWE
2 - 2
FIN
86%
9%
6%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1935 |
FIN
4 - 1
LVA
74%
14%
12%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1934 |
FIN
5 - 4
SWE
39%
21%
40%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 1935 |
NOR
1 - 1
GER
47%
21%
32%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1935 |
DEN
1 - 0
NOR
64%
17%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1935 |
NOR
2 - 0
HUN
49%
20%
31%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1934 |
NOR
3 - 1
DEN
54%
20%
25%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 1934 |
NOR
4 - 2
FIN
75%
14%
11%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |