Finland vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.1%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.5%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
19.3%
28.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1933 |
FIN
2 - 1
EST
76%
13%
11%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1933 |
FIN
9 - 2
LTU
79%
12%
9%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 1933 |
SWE
2 - 0
FIN
84%
9%
6%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 1932 |
FIN
4 - 2
DEN
43%
22%
35%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 1932 |
EST
0 - 3
FIN
61%
19%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1933 |
NOR
4 - 2
HUN
90%
7%
3%
|
72 | 8 | 64 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1933 |
DEN
2 - 2
NOR
68%
16%
16%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1933 |
NOR
1 - 2
WAL
90%
7%
3%
|
72 | 10 | 62 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
NOR
1 - 2
DEN
54%
20%
26%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1932 |
SWE
1 - 4
NOR
76%
13%
12%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |