Finland vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.2%
17.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1925 |
DEN
3 - 3
FIN
77%
14%
9%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1925 |
FIN
2 - 2
POL
59%
19%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1925 |
FIN
3 - 1
LVA
61%
19%
20%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 1925 |
FIN
1 - 2
AUT
42%
22%
36%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 1925 |
EST
2 - 0
FIN
52%
22%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1925 |
NOR
3 - 7
SWE
36%
24%
41%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1925 |
DEN
5 - 1
NOR
74%
15%
11%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1925 |
NOR
1 - 0
FIN
54%
22%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1924 |
FIN
2 - 0
NOR
66%
17%
17%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1924 |
SWE
6 - 1
NOR
74%
15%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |