Finland vs Moldova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1998 |
SVK
0 - 0
FIN
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1998 |
FIN
0 - 1
FRA
12%
25%
63%
|
74 | 97 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1998 |
FIN
0 - 0
GER
15%
26%
59%
|
73 | 94 | 21 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
SCO
1 - 1
FIN
69%
21%
10%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1998 |
MLT
0 - 2
FIN
31%
27%
42%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Moldova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 1998 |
EST
0 - 1
MDA
35%
26%
39%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
LTU
1 - 1
MDA
63%
21%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1998 |
ROU
5 - 1
MDA
93%
6%
2%
|
67 | 91 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
AZE
1 - 0
MDA
39%
26%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1997 |
MDA
0 - 3
POL
20%
23%
57%
|
68 | 87 | 19 | 0 |