Finland vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
6.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1976 |
SCO
6 - 0
FIN
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
FIN
2 - 1
TUR
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 1976 |
SWE
6 - 0
FIN
85%
10%
5%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 1976 |
FIN
1 - 0
ISL
64%
18%
18%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 1976 |
FIN
1 - 4
ENG
19%
25%
57%
|
52 | 92 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
ISL
3 - 1
LUX
74%
16%
11%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
HUN
8 - 1
LUX
90%
7%
3%
|
45 | 89 | 44 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1975 |
AUT
6 - 2
LUX
82%
12%
6%
|
45 | 84 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1975 |
LUX
1 - 3
WAL
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 75 | 29 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1975 |
NED
2 - 1
LUX
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |