Finland vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
51.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.6%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1975 |
FIN
3 - 5
NOR
58%
21%
22%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1974 |
POL
3 - 0
FIN
85%
10%
5%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1974 |
FIN
1 - 3
NED
18%
20%
62%
|
53 | 85 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
FIN
1 - 2
POL
19%
22%
59%
|
53 | 86 | 33 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1974 |
ISL
2 - 2
FIN
52%
23%
26%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
ITA
0 - 0
POL
68%
20%
12%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1974 |
ITA
0 - 0
BGR
76%
17%
8%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1974 |
NED
3 - 1
ITA
39%
27%
33%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
YUG
1 - 0
ITA
42%
27%
31%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 1974 |
POL
2 - 1
ITA
52%
23%
25%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |