Finland vs Iceland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1982 |
FIN
1 - 4
ENG
16%
23%
61%
|
60 | 92 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1982 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
59%
22%
19%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1982 |
FIN
2 - 1
SWE
18%
20%
62%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 1982 |
FIN
2 - 2
SWE
17%
20%
63%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
BRD
7 - 1
FIN
90%
9%
2%
|
58 | 94 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Iceland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1982 |
MLT
2 - 1
ISL
54%
22%
24%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1982 |
ISL
1 - 1
ENG
13%
23%
64%
|
56 | 92 | 36 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
KWT
0 - 0
ISL
83%
11%
6%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1981 |
WAL
2 - 2
ISL
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
ISL
1 - 1
CSK
11%
21%
67%
|
54 | 88 | 34 | +1 |