Finland vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1980 |
YUG
2 - 0
FIN
86%
9%
5%
|
57 | 89 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1980 |
ISL
1 - 1
FIN
46%
22%
32%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1980 |
FIN
0 - 2
BGR
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 79 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1980 |
FIN
0 - 2
SWE
18%
20%
62%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1979 |
BMU
0 - 2
FIN
44%
22%
34%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 1980 |
IRQ
3 - 0
CRC
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1980 |
POL
3 - 0
IRQ
78%
16%
6%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1980 |
IRQ
1 - 0
POL
27%
28%
45%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
IRQ
1 - 1
POL
27%
28%
45%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
IRQ
2 - 0
KSA
72%
16%
13%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |