Finland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
69.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
FIN
1 - 2
IRL
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
ENG
2 - 0
FIN
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GRC
3 - 0
FIN
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
SCO
2 - 2
FIN
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2024 |
POR
4 - 2
FIN
85%
11%
4%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
ENG
1 - 2
GRC
77%
16%
7%
|
93 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
ENG
2 - 0
FIN
78%
15%
7%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
IRL
0 - 2
ENG
14%
21%
65%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
ESP
2 - 1
ENG
57%
21%
22%
|
93 | 95 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
NED
1 - 2
ENG
46%
23%
31%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |