Finland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
59.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1966 |
FIN
1 - 0
SWE
27%
22%
51%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
FIN
0 - 3
ISR
53%
19%
28%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1965 |
POL
7 - 0
FIN
80%
13%
8%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
FIN
2 - 0
POL
35%
22%
43%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 1965 |
SWE
2 - 2
FIN
87%
9%
5%
|
49 | 86 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1966 |
ENG
2 - 0
YUG
75%
15%
11%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1966 |
SCO
3 - 4
ENG
36%
23%
41%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1966 |
ENG
1 - 0
GER
70%
16%
14%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1966 |
ENG
1 - 1
POL
87%
8%
4%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1965 |
ESP
0 - 2
ENG
47%
21%
31%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |