Finland vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.7%
57.6%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
10.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1954 |
NOR
3 - 1
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1954 |
FIN
1 - 10
SWE
34%
21%
45%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 1954 |
FIN
2 - 2
DEN
43%
22%
36%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1954 |
SWE
6 - 0
FIN
90%
7%
4%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1954 |
FIN
1 - 2
SCO
38%
22%
41%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1955 |
DEN
0 - 6
HUN
25%
20%
55%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1955 |
SWE
3 - 7
HUN
43%
20%
37%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1955 |
NOR
0 - 5
HUN
24%
20%
56%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1955 |
AUT
2 - 2
HUN
35%
21%
44%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1954 |
SCO
2 - 4
HUN
27%
21%
52%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | +1 |