Finland vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
50%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.9%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
POL
1 - 0
FIN
83%
10%
7%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
FIN
2 - 2
SWE
25%
20%
55%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1948 |
NOR
2 - 0
FIN
87%
8%
5%
|
48 | 70 | 22 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 1948 |
ISL
2 - 0
FIN
81%
11%
8%
|
48 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1948 |
FIN
0 - 3
DEN
35%
22%
44%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 1949 |
DEN
1 - 2
NED
66%
16%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1949 |
NED
4 - 1
FRA
64%
17%
19%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1949 |
NED
3 - 3
BEL
76%
13%
11%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
BEL
1 - 1
NED
39%
21%
41%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1948 |
GBR
4 - 3
NED
44%
21%
35%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |