Finland vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2019 |
GRC
2 - 1
FIN
51%
27%
23%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
FIN
3 - 0
LIE
89%
10%
2%
|
82 | 35 | 47 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
FIN
3 - 0
ARM
62%
23%
16%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
BIH
4 - 1
FIN
62%
22%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
FIN
1 - 2
ITA
19%
26%
56%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
WAL
2 - 0
HUN
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
AZE
0 - 2
WAL
17%
27%
56%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
WAL
1 - 1
CRO
20%
25%
54%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
SVK
1 - 1
WAL
56%
25%
20%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2019 |
WAL
1 - 0
BLR
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |