Finland vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
29.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
FIN
0 - 3
IRL
30%
25%
44%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2002 |
FIN
2 - 1
LVA
80%
14%
7%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
MKD
1 - 0
FIN
28%
26%
47%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
POR
1 - 4
FIN
80%
15%
5%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2002 |
FIN
0 - 2
KOR
34%
24%
42%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
CRO
1 - 1
WAL
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2002 |
WAL
1 - 0
GER
19%
24%
57%
|
86 | 96 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
WAL
0 - 0
CZE
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
WAL
1 - 1
ARG
13%
22%
66%
|
86 | 98 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
WAL
1 - 0
BLR
77%
16%
8%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | +1 |