Finland vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
44.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 1989 |
FIN
2 - 2
YUG
18%
25%
57%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1989 |
FIN
0 - 1
NED
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 91 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1989 |
DDR
1 - 1
FIN
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1989 |
MLT
0 - 0
FIN
43%
26%
31%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1989 |
DEN
0 - 0
FIN
87%
9%
4%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 1989 |
WAL
0 - 0
BRD
19%
26%
56%
|
84 | 95 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1989 |
WAL
0 - 2
SWE
34%
29%
38%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1989 |
ISR
3 - 3
WAL
43%
29%
28%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1988 |
WAL
2 - 2
FIN
76%
16%
8%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1988 |
NED
1 - 0
WAL
67%
21%
11%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |