Finland vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
53.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1964 |
ITA
6 - 1
FIN
84%
11%
5%
|
47 | 88 | 41 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1964 |
SCO
3 - 1
FIN
83%
11%
6%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
FIN
2 - 1
DEN
31%
21%
47%
|
46 | 76 | 30 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 1964 |
ISL
0 - 2
FIN
81%
11%
7%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1964 |
NOR
2 - 0
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 1965 |
POL
1 - 1
SCO
35%
23%
42%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1965 |
SCO
0 - 0
ESP
53%
22%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1965 |
ENG
2 - 2
SCO
74%
14%
12%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1964 |
SCO
3 - 2
NIR
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1964 |
SCO
3 - 1
FIN
83%
11%
6%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |