Finland vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
46.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 1981 |
SWE
1 - 0
FIN
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 1981 |
FIN
3 - 1
NOR
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 1981 |
AUT
5 - 1
FIN
89%
8%
3%
|
57 | 87 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
FIN
0 - 4
BRD
12%
21%
67%
|
57 | 94 | 37 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1981 |
BGR
4 - 0
FIN
80%
13%
8%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1981 |
DEN
3 - 1
ITA
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1981 |
SWE
1 - 2
DEN
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 1981 |
LUX
1 - 2
DEN
26%
28%
47%
|
78 | 40 | 38 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
DEN
2 - 1
ROU
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 1980 |
DEN
4 - 0
LUX
85%
10%
4%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |