Finland vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1977 |
FIN
0 - 3
ITA
20%
26%
54%
|
55 | 91 | 36 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1977 |
LUX
0 - 1
FIN
44%
23%
33%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1977 |
TUR
1 - 2
FIN
73%
16%
11%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1976 |
ENG
2 - 1
FIN
88%
9%
3%
|
53 | 92 | 39 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
FIN
7 - 1
LUX
81%
12%
7%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 1977 |
DEN
2 - 1
SWE
36%
27%
37%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1977 |
NOR
0 - 2
DEN
34%
24%
43%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1977 |
DEN
1 - 2
POL
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1977 |
BGR
3 - 1
DEN
62%
20%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1977 |
SEN
2 - 3
DEN
30%
22%
48%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | +1 |