Finland vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
DEN
5 - 1
FIN
80%
12%
9%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1935 |
FIN
1 - 5
NOR
49%
20%
31%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1935 |
GER
6 - 0
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 1935 |
FIN
2 - 2
EST
80%
12%
9%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1935 |
SWE
2 - 2
FIN
86%
9%
6%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1936 |
DEN
4 - 3
SWE
54%
19%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1935 |
NED
3 - 0
DEN
55%
20%
25%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1935 |
DEN
5 - 1
FIN
80%
12%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1935 |
DEN
1 - 0
NOR
64%
17%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1935 |
SWE
3 - 1
DEN
73%
14%
13%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |