Finland vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
45.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1988 |
FIN
1 - 3
COL
35%
25%
39%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1988 |
FIN
3 - 0
TUN
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
MLT
2 - 0
FIN
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1988 |
FIN
0 - 1
SWE
24%
27%
49%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1988 |
CSK
0 - 2
FIN
81%
13%
6%
|
64 | 89 | 25 | +2 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1988 |
NED
1 - 2
BGR
66%
22%
13%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1988 |
BGR
1 - 1
DDR
43%
28%
29%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1988 |
BGR
2 - 0
CSK
39%
29%
33%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1988 |
EGY
1 - 0
BGR
46%
27%
27%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1988 |
SRB
1 - 3
BGR
12%
24%
64%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |