Finland vs Bulgaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
42.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1960 |
DDR
5 - 1
FIN
24%
22%
55%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1960 |
FIN
1 - 2
FRA
33%
22%
46%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1960 |
NOR
6 - 3
FIN
82%
11%
7%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1960 |
DEN
2 - 1
FIN
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 75 | 30 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 1960 |
FIN
0 - 3
SWE
30%
21%
49%
|
45 | 86 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
FRA
3 - 0
BGR
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
BGR
2 - 1
TUR
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1960 |
BGR
2 - 1
GER
25%
22%
53%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1960 |
YUG
3 - 3
BGR
89%
7%
4%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1960 |
BGR
2 - 0
EGY
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |