Finland vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
60.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
18.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.9%
0-2
14%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
9%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1987 |
FIN
0 - 1
DEN
23%
25%
53%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1987 |
WAL
4 - 0
FIN
73%
17%
10%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1987 |
POL
3 - 1
FIN
85%
11%
5%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1986 |
DEN
1 - 0
FIN
89%
8%
3%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1986 |
CSK
3 - 0
FIN
81%
13%
6%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1987 |
SCO
0 - 2
BRA
26%
28%
46%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1987 |
IRL
1 - 0
BRA
17%
26%
56%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1987 |
ENG
1 - 1
BRA
45%
27%
29%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1986 |
BRA
1 - 1
FRA
71%
17%
12%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1986 |
BRA
4 - 0
POL
80%
13%
8%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |