Finland vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
20.2%
35.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1952 |
FIN
2 - 1
DEN
43%
22%
36%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
FIN
1 - 8
SWE
34%
21%
45%
|
55 | 84 | 29 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1952 |
NOR
7 - 2
FIN
79%
12%
9%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 1952 |
FIN
4 - 0
CHN
45%
21%
34%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +2 |
| 19 Jul. 1952 |
FIN
3 - 4
AUT
29%
21%
50%
|
54 | 84 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1953 |
BEL
1 - 3
YUG
49%
21%
31%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
NED
0 - 2
BEL
57%
19%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1953 |
ESP
3 - 1
BEL
74%
14%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1952 |
FRA
0 - 1
BEL
62%
18%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 1952 |
ENG
5 - 0
BEL
82%
10%
7%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | -1 |