Finland vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
41.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
FIN
2 - 1
DEN
33%
22%
46%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1966 |
NOR
1 - 1
FIN
78%
13%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1966 |
FIN
0 - 3
ENG
21%
20%
60%
|
51 | 89 | 38 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1966 |
FIN
1 - 0
SWE
27%
22%
51%
|
50 | 86 | 36 | +1 |
| 08 May. 1966 |
FIN
0 - 3
ISR
53%
19%
28%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1966 |
AUT
2 - 1
NED
69%
17%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1966 |
ITA
1 - 0
AUT
77%
14%
10%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1966 |
AUT
1 - 0
IRL
72%
16%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1966 |
AUT
0 - 1
SUN
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
DDR
1 - 0
AUT
32%
24%
44%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |