Finland vs Austria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1921 |
SWE
0 - 3
FIN
73%
15%
12%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1921 |
NOR
3 - 2
FIN
55%
22%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1920 |
FIN
6 - 0
EST
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1920 |
FIN
1 - 0
SWE
46%
23%
32%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1920 |
SWE
4 - 0
FIN
76%
14%
10%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Austria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 1921 |
SWE
1 - 3
AUT
60%
20%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1921 |
GER
3 - 3
AUT
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1921 |
SUI
2 - 2
AUT
53%
22%
26%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1921 |
AUT
4 - 1
HUN
49%
22%
30%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1921 |
AUT
2 - 2
SWE
64%
18%
17%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |