Finland vs Armenia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.2
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
ARM
0 - 2
FIN
29%
26%
45%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
FIN
3 - 0
AND
94%
5%
1%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
ROU
2 - 1
FIN
75%
17%
8%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2004 |
FIN
1 - 3
SWE
28%
26%
46%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
BIH
1 - 0
FIN
45%
26%
30%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Armenia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2004 |
ARM
0 - 2
FIN
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
MKD
3 - 0
ARM
62%
20%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2004 |
ARM
1 - 0
TKM
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
GEO
0 - 2
ARM
70%
17%
13%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2004 |
KAZ
5 - 4
ARM
51%
24%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |