Finland vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
58.7%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
BEL
3 - 4
FIN
76%
17%
7%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1999 |
MDA
0 - 0
FIN
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
FIN
2 - 4
TUR
42%
26%
32%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1999 |
SVN
1 - 1
FIN
65%
19%
16%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
GER
2 - 0
FIN
86%
11%
4%
|
75 | 94 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 1999 |
USA
2 - 0
GER
18%
24%
59%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 1999 |
GER
2 - 0
NZL
89%
8%
3%
|
94 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1999 |
BRA
4 - 0
GER
80%
13%
7%
|
94 | 100 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1999 |
GER
6 - 1
MDA
95%
4%
1%
|
94 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1999 |
GER
0 - 1
SCO
71%
18%
11%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | -1 |