Finland vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
46.8%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1940 |
SWE
5 - 0
FIN
89%
7%
4%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1940 |
GER
13 - 0
FIN
86%
9%
5%
|
54 | 82 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1940 |
FIN
2 - 3
SWE
36%
21%
43%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1939 |
FIN
0 - 3
LVA
60%
18%
22%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1939 |
DEN
8 - 1
FIN
83%
10%
7%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1941 |
SWE
4 - 2
GER
59%
18%
23%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1941 |
GER
5 - 1
CRO
77%
13%
10%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1941 |
ROU
1 - 4
GER
39%
22%
39%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1941 |
SUI
2 - 1
GER
40%
22%
38%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
GER
7 - 0
HUN
66%
16%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |