Finland vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 1925 |
SWE
4 - 0
FIN
76%
14%
10%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1925 |
NOR
1 - 0
FIN
54%
22%
25%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1924 |
FIN
2 - 0
NOR
66%
17%
17%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1924 |
FIN
4 - 0
EST
67%
17%
16%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1924 |
FIN
2 - 0
NOR
60%
19%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1925 |
SWE
1 - 0
GER
70%
16%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1925 |
NED
2 - 1
GER
70%
16%
14%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1924 |
GER
1 - 1
SUI
49%
22%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1924 |
GER
0 - 1
ITA
52%
22%
26%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1924 |
HUN
4 - 1
GER
71%
15%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |