Finland vs Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1921 |
EST
0 - 3
FIN
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1921 |
FIN
2 - 3
AUT
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1921 |
SWE
0 - 3
FIN
73%
15%
12%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 1921 |
NOR
3 - 2
FIN
55%
22%
24%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1920 |
FIN
6 - 0
EST
55%
21%
24%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1921 |
HUN
3 - 0
GER
77%
13%
10%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1921 |
GER
3 - 3
AUT
56%
21%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1920 |
GER
1 - 0
HUN
39%
23%
38%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1920 |
AUT
3 - 2
GER
63%
18%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 1920 |
SUI
4 - 1
GER
52%
21%
27%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |