Finland vs West Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
60.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1988 |
FIN
0 - 0
SUN
18%
27%
55%
|
66 | 93 | 27 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1988 |
FIN
1 - 1
BGR
29%
25%
45%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1988 |
FIN
1 - 3
COL
35%
25%
39%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1988 |
FIN
3 - 0
TUN
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1988 |
MLT
2 - 0
FIN
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
West Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 1988 |
NED
2 - 1
BRD
41%
24%
35%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1988 |
BRD
2 - 0
ESP
74%
16%
11%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1988 |
BRD
2 - 0
DEN
81%
12%
6%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1988 |
BRD
1 - 1
ITA
72%
17%
11%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1988 |
BRD
1 - 1
YUG
69%
19%
13%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |