Fiji vs Tonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.5%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
PNG
1 - 1
FIJ
9%
18%
74%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2012 |
FIJ
0 - 0
SOL
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
FIJ
0 - 1
NZL
13%
19%
69%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
FIJ
5 - 1
SAM
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2011 |
FIJ
3 - 0
SAM
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Tonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TON
2 - 1
COK
19%
23%
58%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
SAM
1 - 1
TON
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
ASA
2 - 1
TON
2%
11%
86%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
TON
1 - 2
COK
34%
24%
41%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
TON
1 - 1
COK
33%
24%
43%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |