Fiji vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
FIJ
1 - 0
TAH
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
SAM
1 - 9
FIJ
18%
23%
60%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
PNG
1 - 5
FIJ
19%
23%
59%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 2
FIJ
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
SOL
2 - 1
FIJ
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2024 |
VAN
0 - 4
NZL
11%
20%
70%
|
44 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SOL
0 - 1
VAN
59%
22%
19%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
BRN
3 - 2
VAN
16%
18%
66%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
GUI
6 - 0
VAN
82%
13%
5%
|
45 | 72 | 27 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
PNG
0 - 1
VAN
27%
22%
51%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |