Fiji vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
FIJ
1 - 2
PNG
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
NZL
4 - 0
FIJ
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
NCL
1 - 2
FIJ
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
FIJ
0 - 0
VAN
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
FIJ
1 - 1
TAH
46%
23%
31%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
IDN
6 - 0
VAN
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
FIJ
0 - 0
VAN
49%
25%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2019 |
VAN
2 - 0
TAH
38%
24%
39%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
VAN
5 - 0
TON
78%
14%
8%
|
44 | 17 | 27 | +3 |
| 23 Nov. 2017 |
VAN
0 - 1
EST
5%
11%
85%
|
44 | 71 | 27 | 0 |