Fiji vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
TAH
0 - 0
FIJ
23%
24%
54%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
FIJ
0 - 3
VAN
84%
12%
5%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2004 |
SAM
0 - 4
FIJ
9%
18%
74%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
FIJ
11 - 0
ASA
94%
5%
1%
|
54 | 5 | 49 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
FIJ
4 - 2
PNG
86%
10%
4%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2004 |
VAN
0 - 1
SOL
35%
25%
41%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
FIJ
0 - 3
VAN
84%
12%
5%
|
38 | 55 | 17 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SAM
0 - 3
VAN
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
ASA
1 - 9
VAN
1%
10%
89%
|
36 | 5 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2004 |
PNG
1 - 1
VAN
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |