Fiji vs Papua New Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
NZL
4 - 0
FIJ
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
NCL
1 - 2
FIJ
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
FIJ
0 - 0
VAN
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2019 |
FIJ
1 - 1
TAH
46%
23%
31%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
FIJ
1 - 0
MUS
60%
22%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2022 |
PNG
1 - 0
NCL
17%
22%
62%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
PNG
0 - 1
NZL
9%
17%
74%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2017 |
PNG
1 - 2
SOL
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2017 |
SOL
3 - 2
PNG
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
TAH
1 - 2
PNG
56%
23%
21%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |