Fiji vs Papua New Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.2%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.3%
4%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2002 |
AUS
8 - 0
FIJ
83%
13%
4%
|
55 | 90 | 35 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2002 |
FIJ
0 - 1
VAN
85%
11%
5%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
FIJ
2 - 1
NCL
80%
13%
7%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2001 |
TON
1 - 8
FIJ
3%
15%
82%
|
55 | 20 | 35 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
FIJ
0 - 2
AUS
6%
20%
74%
|
55 | 89 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2004 |
PNG
1 - 1
VAN
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
TAH
3 - 0
PNG
73%
16%
11%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2003 |
PNG
2 - 2
TON
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2003 |
PNG
3 - 5
CYM
37%
23%
39%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2002 |
PNG
1 - 3
TAH
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |