Fiji vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
FIJ
1 - 0
SOL
69%
18%
13%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
FIJ
1 - 1
SOL
70%
18%
12%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
NZL
2 - 0
FIJ
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | -3 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
19%
22%
58%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +2 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
FIJ
1 - 1
MAS
51%
24%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2016 |
NCL
0 - 0
NZL
14%
20%
65%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
NZL
2 - 0
NCL
72%
18%
10%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 1
NCL
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 3
NCL
26%
23%
50%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2016 |
NCL
1 - 2
MAS
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |