Fiji vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
11%
18%
70%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
FIJ
0 - 2
NZL
12%
19%
69%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 0
FIJ
16%
22%
62%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2007 |
FIJ
3 - 0
VAN
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 1
FIJ
14%
21%
65%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 0
FIJ
16%
22%
62%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2007 |
SOL
2 - 3
NCL
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 1
FIJ
14%
21%
65%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
NCL
3 - 0
COK
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
TUV
0 - 1
NCL
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |