Fiji vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.3%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
1.3%
3-2
0.1%
+1
5.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
19.6%
74.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
20.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
28%
0-2
18.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
23.4%
0-3
11.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.2%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
SAM
1 - 6
FIJ
12%
21%
66%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2001 |
FIJ
13 - 0
ASA
92%
7%
2%
|
55 | 7 | 48 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2001 |
FIJ
1 - 2
MAS
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
FIJ
2 - 0
MAS
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2001 |
FIJ
4 - 1
MAS
34%
26%
41%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2001 |
AUS
31 - 0
ASA
86%
11%
3%
|
88 | 5 | 83 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2001 |
TON
0 - 22
AUS
2%
16%
82%
|
88 | 20 | 68 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2001 |
COL
3 - 2
AUS
56%
25%
19%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2000 |
SCO
0 - 2
AUS
54%
27%
19%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
AUS
2 - 4
KOR
37%
28%
36%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |