Estonia vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
59.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
SVN
3 - 0
EST
76%
16%
8%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
ITA
4 - 1
EST
92%
7%
1%
|
54 | 96 | 42 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1995 |
CYP
3 - 1
EST
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1995 |
NOR
7 - 0
EST
93%
5%
2%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1995 |
VIE
1 - 0
EST
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 1995 |
UKR
0 - 2
ITA
11%
24%
65%
|
76 | 96 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
CRO
4 - 0
UKR
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1995 |
MLI
0 - 1
UKR
33%
27%
39%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1994 |
UKR
3 - 0
EST
83%
13%
5%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1994 |
UKR
0 - 0
SVN
66%
19%
16%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |