Estonia vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
67.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
EST
0 - 3
BEL
4%
13%
84%
|
65 | 93 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
AZE
1 - 1
EST
37%
28%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
AUT
2 - 1
EST
81%
14%
6%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
HUN
1 - 0
EST
75%
17%
9%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
FIN
0 - 1
EST
68%
21%
12%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
AUT
2 - 0
SWE
37%
25%
38%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
SWE
4 - 1
NZL
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
SWE
5 - 0
AZE
80%
15%
5%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SWE
0 - 3
BEL
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
SWE
2 - 1
ISL
70%
19%
12%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |