Estonia vs San Marino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.9%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
FIN
0 - 2
EST
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
ISL
28%
26%
46%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
SUI
3 - 0
EST
81%
14%
5%
|
69 | 89 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2014 |
QAT
3 - 0
EST
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
EST
1 - 0
JOR
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
San Marino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
LIE
1 - 0
SMR
34%
22%
45%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2015 |
SVN
6 - 0
SMR
84%
12%
4%
|
30 | 81 | 51 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
SMR
0 - 0
EST
11%
20%
69%
|
29 | 69 | 40 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2014 |
SMR
0 - 4
SUI
12%
21%
68%
|
30 | 89 | 59 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
ENG
5 - 0
SMR
87%
10%
3%
|
30 | 94 | 64 | 0 |