Estonia vs Poland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
60.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
LVA
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
EST
1 - 5
LTU
48%
25%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
EST
0 - 1
CRO
21%
25%
54%
|
72 | 92 | 20 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
EST
2 - 0
AND
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
AND
0 - 2
EST
25%
23%
53%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Poland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
SWE
3 - 0
POL
61%
22%
17%
|
90 | 94 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2003 |
POL
3 - 0
KAZ
84%
12%
4%
|
90 | 72 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
BEL
3 - 1
POL
55%
24%
21%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
POL
5 - 0
SMR
93%
6%
1%
|
90 | 45 | 45 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
POL
0 - 0
HUN
52%
25%
24%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |